Vermilion Energy Valuation

VET Stock  CAD 13.57  0.08  0.59%   
At this time, the company appears to be overvalued. Vermilion Energy has a current Real Value of C$11.01 per share. The regular price of the company is C$13.57. Our model measures the value of Vermilion Energy from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Operating Margin of 0.23 %, shares outstanding of 153.43 M, and Return On Equity of 0.0373 as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Vermilion Energy's valuation include:
Price Book
0.7733
Enterprise Value
3.4 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
3.482
Price Sales
1.0442
Forward PE
105.2632
Overvalued
Today
13.57
Please note that Vermilion Energy's price fluctuation is somewhat reliable at this time. Calculation of the real value of Vermilion Energy is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Vermilion Energy's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Vermilion Energy is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Vermilion Stock. However, Vermilion Energy's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  13.57 Real  11.01 Hype  13.66
The intrinsic value of Vermilion Energy's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Vermilion Energy's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
11.01
Real Value
15.02
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Vermilion Energy helps investors to forecast how Vermilion stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Vermilion Energy more accurately as focusing exclusively on Vermilion Energy's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
-0.330.08-0.33
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.0713.6616.25
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Vermilion Energy's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Vermilion Energy's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Vermilion Energy's closest peers.

Vermilion Energy Cash

76.65 Million

Vermilion Energy Total Value Analysis

Vermilion Energy is at this time anticipated to have takeover price of 3.36 B with market capitalization of 2.1 B, debt of 1.02 B, and cash on hands of 675 K. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Vermilion Energy fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
3.36 B
2.1 B
1.02 B
675 K

Vermilion Energy Investor Information

About 49.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.77. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Vermilion Energy has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.4. The entity last dividend was issued on the 15th of December 2025. Based on the key measurements obtained from Vermilion Energy's financial statements, Vermilion Energy is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high risk of going through financial distress in March.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Total Cash From Operating Activities1.2 B1.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile

Vermilion Energy Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Vermilion Energy has an asset utilization ratio of 33.92 percent. This suggests that the Company is making C$0.34 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Vermilion Energy is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Vermilion Energy Profitability Analysis

Based on the key profitability measurements obtained from Vermilion Energy's financial statements, Vermilion Energy may not be well positioned to generate adequate gross income at this time. It has a very high risk of underperforming in March. Profitability indicators assess Vermilion Energy's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Loss  
First Reported
1995-09-30
Previous Quarter
-233.5 M
Current Value
2.6 M
Quarterly Volatility
180.2 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At this time, Vermilion Energy's Gross Profit is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 17th of February 2026, Gross Profit Margin is likely to grow to 0.72, though Pretax Profit Margin is likely to grow to (0).
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.720.62
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
For Vermilion Energy profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Vermilion Energy to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Vermilion Energy utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Vermilion Energy's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Vermilion Energy over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Vermilion Energy Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

By analyzing Vermilion Energy's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Vermilion Energy's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current EPS estimates against different timeframes. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Vermilion Energy is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Vermilion Energy is projected to generate 0.08 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2025. Vermilion Energy earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Vermilion Energy EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Vermilion Energy's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Vermilion Energy, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Vermilion Energy Ownership Allocation

Vermilion Energy shows a total of 153.43 Million outstanding shares. 30% of Vermilion Energy outstanding shares are owned by institutional holders. Institutional investors are typically referred to investors that purchase positions in a given stock to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to different rules and regulations than regular investors. Please look out for any change in current institutional holding as this could mean something significant has changed at the company or is about to change. Please note that no matter how many assets the company owns, if the real value of the company is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Vermilion Energy Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 2.07 B. Net Loss for the year was (46.74 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.28 B.

Vermilion Energy Past Distributions to stockholders

About Vermilion Energy Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vermilion Energy. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Vermilion Energy based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Vermilion Energy's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Vermilion Energy's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Vermilion Energy. We calculate exposure to Vermilion Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Vermilion Energy's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit1.3 B1.4 B
Operating Profit Margin 0.14  0.13 
Net Loss(0.03)(0.02)
Gross Profit Margin 0.62  0.72 
When determining whether Vermilion Energy is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Vermilion Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Vermilion Energy Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Vermilion Energy Stock:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Vermilion Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.
To learn how to invest in Vermilion Stock, please use our How to Invest in Vermilion Energy guide.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Vermilion Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vermilion Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Vermilion Energy's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.